July 17, 2008 - Week 6 |
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| Sixth week and fifth meeting for Group 2. Agenda included discussion of data analyzed related to Global Warming hypotheses. | |
Meredith: hi ladies! Sunnkist: Hi y'all Sunnkist: How's Vegas? Meredith: that is totally weird Meredith: can you both see me right now? Smac: hey sorry Sunnkist: kinda yea Smac: working on two computers ... lol ... how is everyone Meredith: I'm underwater in my view Meredith: so weird
Meredith: will log out and back in Sunnkist: ok Meredith: that seemed to do it Meredith: so weird Meredith: I took a snapshot of the water. . . Sunnkist: hmm Meredith: at least I wasn't teleported to something like that swingers bar something weird zapped me into once! Smac: I’m sorry about last week. That emergency the first week I missed turned into three weeks in the hospital for a dear friend. Meredith: sorry to hear that . . .are they ok? Smac: How is everyone doing ... yes they finally let him go home. Still long road ahead to recover Sunnkist: can that happen in here? Meredith: being teleported to weird places on accident? Meredith: yes Meredith: very very rarely Meredith: less now than a year ago Smac: wow Meredith: yep - just gotta teleport out Meredith: it's happened to me 2 times now since I made my account 21 months ago, if that's any measure Sunnkist: very weird Meredith: and one was today and all I saw was water Sunnkist: and SMAC I'm sorry about your friend Smac: thanks. You know it rains it pours... lol Meredith: Hi Kurt Smac: He is doing much better and home where he wants to be Kurt: hi Sunnkist: very good! Meredith: well, we wish him the best Meredith: ok - so we are all here Meredith: and congrats on making it this far Meredith: I believe next week is you last week of quizzes etc Meredith: and next week is last week of group VCs Meredith: so you are close Smac: wow Meredith: if you have any make-up work to do I recommend getting cracking Meredith: not much of a grace period allowed by the Univ. (like none) Smac: when is the last day of class ... Smac: We should have everything submitted by that day Meredith: also, once I get home tomorrow from this conference I'll start bugging you about final exams Meredith: it's in the schedule SMAC Smac: thanks Smac: sorry Meredith: I don’t have that avail right now Meredith: np Sunnkist: I think it's the 30th Meredith: I just am out of town and have few resources at my disposal at the moment Meredith: but WebCT has them Meredith: so . . . . Smac: ok Meredith: any other questions before we get going? Meredith: or needs Meredith: or anything class related Meredith: will take the silence as a no? Smac: nothing here Meredith: ok Meredith: ok - so this week’s VC Meredith: you all looked into one of the data sets Meredith: who did which set? Kurt: I did set 1 Smac: I did set three Meredith: ok - so Sunn is 2 Meredith: great Meredith: so we'll go in numerical order Meredith: and like in the past, think of yourself as the teacher Meredith: instructing us on what you found out Kurt: ok Meredith: so give us an explanation of the topic Meredith: and the implications . . . the more detail the better Meredith: and I'll hush now :) Kurt: I basically just researched information on both the ozone and solar activity; specifically whether or not there was any direct correlations between those two and global warming Kurt: for the ozone, I found out that both the ozone itself and the temperature are interconnected and subject to each other Kurt: the ozone has in fact depleted over the past decade Kurt: sorry, century Meredith: to what extent (just curious) Kurt: well it's measure in Dobson Units ... which is a measurement to measure the stratosphere Kurt: density and amount I assume Meredith: ok Meredith: did you get a relative decreased value or %? Meredith: just curious Meredith: I didn't have time to look into it so was curious Kurt: no however, I do know that the hole in the ozone in the Antarctic that has increased Meredith: ok Kurt: as it has enlarged since the 70s, it has increased from 0 million sq kilometers to 25 million square kilometers (on average) Meredith: interesting Smac: wow Sunnkist: oh man Meredith: I'll hold off on questions but have a mess of them lol Meredith: keep going - this is interesting Kurt: although this would not support a global warming argument much, it does prove to be a direct cause for more radiation let into the earth (specifically around that area) Meredith: ok - how are ozone and temperature related, btw - how do they influence each other on a global scale? Kurt: according to a chart, temperature changes directly with ozone variation Meredith: so as ozone increases temp increases or vice versa? Meredith: or the opposite I mean Kurt: in September, ozone layer is the thinnest while temperatures are the hottest, when the ozone thickens, winter begins Kurt: well the ozone is mainly dependent on the temperature, not vice-versa Kurt: however, the temperature measured is stratospheric temperature, not global temperature Meredith: is that true on a global scale? Meredith: like if the ozone layer is thin, is the globe warmer or not? Meredith: remember our summer is winter on the other hemisphere Meredith: so although the trend might appear to go that way for the N. hemisphere, it may not be the cases looking at the whole globe Kurt: yes... well not quite sure what it is on a global scale, but on an atmospheric scale, the temperature and amount are directly related Meredith: ok Meredith: did you read anything about how ozone acts like a blanket insulating the earth? Kurt: yes ... that's it's whole purpose Meredith: ok Meredith: so less ozone would mean we heat up and cool down more drastically? Kurt: that's why temperatures during night and day, and between seasons around the hole of the ozone, are more unstable then where we are. It may not have long term trends, but the instability is extraordinary Meredith: ok Kurt: without out an ozone layer....... Kurt: sun's warmth and energy are not kept on the earth... thus once the sun was to disappear (like at night) the area would cool significantly... similar to a desert, but more extreme Meredith: interesting Smac: we need it to stay in place :) Meredith: lol Meredith: we'll all pass on becoming ice truckers? Meredith: lol Kurt: yea Meredith: ok - keep going lol Sunnkist: ha Kurt: in conclusion, ozone layer does vary with temperature and affects global temperature, but not in the way we thought it would.... the earth may still get warmer despite the ozone, but the stability would vary drastically Meredith: ok Meredith: how about the solar variation part Kurt: ok....... Kurt: solar variation refers to the variation in the sun's energy emission Kurt: it runs on 11-year cycles where the sun's energy varies, increasing and decreasing Kurt: these changes however are extremely minimal Kurt: for instance........ Meredith: uh oh - his free internet may have cut out lol Meredith: :) Meredith: we'll wait a sec Kurt: as more and more sunspots appear (areas on the sun that are cooler than those around it), the temperature and CO2 increases indirectly Meredith: interesting Sunnkist: that is interesting Smac: wow Meredith: did you get a sense for what was going on with that? Kurt: not really, that's what I hoped to learn more about Meredith: how did temp and CO2 vary with just plain solar output (sunspots aside)? Kurt: well sunspot variation had little to do with solar output.... the temp and CO2 has increase though while solar output has slightly increased (I believe) Meredith: ok Meredith: over the long-term did it look like solar variation impacted earth temps? Meredith: like way back when? Kurt: not by much, no Meredith: ok Kurt: well maybe a little Kurt: by not too much Meredith: ok Meredith: some graphs show a pretty high correlation, but the shift isn't huge Meredith: so it depends on the point of view Kurt: yea Meredith: great - so what kind of last statement would you offer about the things you looked into? Kurt: although both topics I researched affect temperature and CO2 levels, the increase in one has not severely affected temperature to a degree to say that it is the cause of global warming Meredith: ok Meredith: well thanks for that Meredith: good job Meredith: so Sunn, what can you tell us? Sunnkist: ok well I hate to say this but I’m at work and a few people just walked in so I might be in an out I’m very sorry
Sunnkist: but I researched ocean currents Meredith: ok Meredith: well let's have Smac go then Meredith: if you need that Sunnkist: I think I can manage Meredith: ok Sunnkist: The ocean currents are responsible for keep temperature moderate from pole to poles Sunnkist: So they take warm water from the equator and move it north warming the North Atlantic Sunnkist: The warmer water is on the surface of the ocean while the cooler wate sinks deep into the ocean Sunnkist: This circulation is called the thermohaline circulation Meredith: ok Sunnkist: North Atlantic waters are relatively salty compared with other parts of the world ocean. Salty water is denser than fresh water. Cold water is denser than warm water. When the warm, salty waters of the North Atlantic release heat to the atmosphere, they become colder and begin to sink. It also helps draw warm, salty tropical surface waters northward to replace the sinking waters. This process is called “thermohaline circulation,” from the Greek words “thermos” (heat) and “halos” (salt). Meredith: ok Meredith: so there is a cycle based on saltiness and temperature Meredith: with cool things sinking Sunnkist: yes Meredith: is something going on with them these days? Sunnkist: Yes Sunnkist: due to the warming of the temperatures the glaciers in Greenland are melting Meredith: ok Sunnkist: which results in freshwater flowing into the North Atlantic which is decreasing the salinity of the water Meredith: ok Sunnkist: With a an influx of warm water or fresh water the circulation will slow down or cease Meredith: ok Sunnkist: if that happens Europe will experience a severe change in temperature resulting in extremely cold winters Sunnkist: and regional cooling will occur even if the Earth is warming Meredith: interesting Sunnkist: other extremities such as flooding in some areas, droughts in others, more frequent and intense El Nino events Meredith: ok Meredith: is El Nino related to these circulation cycles? Sunnkist: Also, in effect with changes in ocean currents is the increase or decrease in water vapor , the ocean currents play a direct role in the hydro-cycle and with the amounts of water vapor in the atmosphere which is a major greenhouse gas Meredith: ok Sunnkist: It talked about the fact that El Niño would intensify with the shut-down of the circulation but that's about it Meredith: interesting Sunnkist: As of right now they can't predict if this cooling will happen within 5-10 years and be a severe change which will decrease global warming or if it will be a gradual change which might not affect global warming at all Meredith: ok Tek Zeno is Online Sunnkist: With that information I believe that the ocean currents may have a hand in the changing temperatures but does not CAUSE global warming Meredith: ok Meredith: interesting info
Meredith: that set was the most complex by far Sunnkist: a lot of confusing info Meredith: a least in terms of getting a clear answer Meredith: well thanks for that Meredith: and Smac, you must have had the human impact part Sunnkist: does anyone have any questions I know I was confused the first time I read thru it Smac: I researched Urban Islands & the Greenhouse Effect. Ok here is what I learned . . . let’s start with Green house gases. They are gases present in the earth's atmosphere which reduce the loss of heat into space and therefore contribute to global temperatures through the "greenhouse effect." without these gases the temperature on earth would be uninhabitable. On the flip side levels that are too high the planet could get lethal levels, like on Venus it is about 467 C. This Gas comes from natural and industrial processes. Currently the CO2 levels of 380 ppmv according to some things I read this is 100 PPMV higher than during pre-industrial times. I also saw another chart that displayed that the CO2 levels have shot up since "human activity" has started to produce MASS CO2. Another chart also shows that just since the 70's Carbon Dioxide, Methane, Nitrous Oxide, CFC-12, CFC-11 have all made huge increases. it also shows that fossil fuel burning since the 1900s has increased and contributed. whew...k.. Urban Islands.. Meredith: hang on Smac: k Meredith: don't copy and paste that much at one lol Meredith: once Smac: i typed it in sorry Smac: just started going Smac: lol Meredith: ok Meredith: give us a sec to read then Smac: ok Meredith: I'll recopy and paste Meredith: one sec Meredith: I researched Urban Islands & the Greenhouse Effect. Ok here is what I learned let’s start with Green house gases. Meredith: They are gases present in the earth's atmosphere which reduce the loss of heat into space and therefore contribute to global temperatures through the "greenhouse effect." without these gases the temperature on earth would be uninhabitable. Meredith: On the flip side levels that are too high the planet could get lethal levels, like on Venus it is about 467 C. This Gas comes from natural and industrial processes. Sunnkist: you can open the chat window to see it all Sunnkist: in case you miss anything Meredith: right Meredith: just so I can read it too lol Sunnkist: oh ok sorry Meredith: Currently the CO2 levels of 380 ppmv according so some things I read this is 100 PPMV higher than during pre-industrial times. I also saw another chart that displayed that the CO2 levels have shot up since "human activity" has started to produce MASS CO2. Smac: sorry.. Thought it would easier to have it all there... ha guess not Meredith: Another chart also shows that just since the 70's Carbon Dioxide, Methane, Nitrous Oxide, CFC-12, CFC-11 have all made huge increases. it also shows that fossil fuel burning since the 1900s has increased and contributed. whew...k.. Urban Islands.. Meredith: ok - so what you wrote there Smac - what would you say it means? Smac: well first any questions on green house Meredith: in a sentence or two Smac: Basically we need greenhouse gases Smac: HOWEVER we are producing so much CO2 that it might "insulate" us to well Meredith: ok Meredith: what % of CO2 on earth is human generated? Smac: this is what 'they" would say is causing our increasing temps Meredith: did you see numbers on that? Smac: oh - I think I do have that Smac: 43 i think Sunnkist: 43% IS HUMAN GENERATED Smac: respiration Smac: fossil fuels Smac: deforestation Meredith: ok - I see where you got that Meredith: the respiration value is just life generally Meredith: and mainly plants Smac: only 57 is from the ocean Meredith: the human fraction is 5% Smac: oh sorry the chart I looked at had it broken down differently Meredith: so humans are responsible for 5% of all CO2 in the atmosphere Meredith: right - the respiration didn't mean human respiration Smac: HA ok Smac: sorry Meredith: np Sunnkist: oh ok Smac: yeah it has another chart talking about plans photosynthesis is 40% Meredith: ok Smac: however the other charts do show an increase since the industrial revolution Kurt: I’ll have to go soon Meredith: must have been sink and sources. . and the 40% is how much plants absorb I think Meredith: ok Smac: Cars, and other things. Meredith: ok Smac: Then we have Urban Islands basically this is like......... Smac: example... DC
Smac: Everyone been there? Meredith: yes Kurt: yea Sunnkist: yes Smac: ok Well if you have been there in the Dead of summer like i have been the past few weeks.... the city temp is much higher than the "country" or outer communities. Meredith: ok Smac: the examples I was looking at was with Japan.. Smac: but it can relate. Smac: NO wind Smac: tall buildings Smac: the heat kinda cooks the concentrated area Meredith: ook Smac: So you get HOT SPOTS kinda Meredith: did you get the feeling that urban island effect impacts climate globally? Smac: yes and no Smac: i kinda felt like it affected the area around it, Smac: however I don`t think that it could only effect one area. it would have to effect everything right? Meredith: what you said makes sense Meredith: and I know Kurt needs to go Smac: yeah me too.... Meredith: so in the interest of time I'm going to force the last week's ideas on you Meredith: and will post that tonight Meredith: or tomorrow Meredith: to the discussion board Smac: ok Smac: thanks Sunnkist: ok Meredith: and hope we can come to useful conclusions then Meredith: you all have a good week Smac: thanks Kurt: k thanks Meredith: and will talk to you next time Kurt: u too Meredith: ttyl |
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